Do Monetary Handcuffs Restrain Leviathan? Fiscal Policy in Extreme Exchange Rate Regimes

This paper studies fiscal policy in countries that have chosen an extreme monetary stance. We think of a country as having an extreme monetary policy if it is in either a currency board or a common currency area. In much of our analysis, we distinguish between multilateral currency unions (such as the East Caribbean Currency Area, or ECCA) and countries that have unilaterally adopted the currency of an anchor country (such as Panama).

It is possible to motivate our analysis in several ways. A number of countries are considering whether to abandon national monetary sovereignty and unilaterally adopt the money of another country, including Mexico and Argentina; Ecuador, Guatemala, and El Salvador are already proceeding with dollarization. In Europe, 12 countries have already abandoned national monetary discretion within the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). More generally, there has been much discussion of the “disappearing center” of exchange rate regimes; countries are said to have a choice of either freely floating or going to an extreme monetary stance.

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Independent Review of the Operation of Monetary Policy in New Zealand

In May 2000, the Government announced that the New Zealand monetary policy framework would be reviewed. Professor Lars Svensson of Stockholm University was appointed to undertake the review and to report by the end of February 2001. Professor Svensson’s report was released by the Treasurer/Minister of Finance on 28 February.

In this issue of the Bulletin, we have published the Executive Summary and recommendations of the Svensson Report, together with the terms of reference of the review. The complete report by Professor Svensson can be obtained from the New Zealand Treasury and can be accessed on www.monpolreview.govt.nz – the monetary policy review website, and on www.rbnz.govt.nz – the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s website.

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International Currency Exchange Rates & Monetary Policy Considerations

International currency exchange rates are a mechanism for determining the relative value of one currency against another. Rates are set by the forces of supply and demand. Market participants negotiate an agreed value at which the exchange takes place. There is no one centralized market place for exchange rates but the majority of transactions occur on the Interbank market between the participants who negotiate the agreed price. Exchange rates are essential for maintaining a workable framework for all matters of international trade and commerce. This article will examine the role of exchange rates and how they can influence economic and planning decisions.

Currency exchange rates affect foreign trade. International exchange rates allow countries to determine the relative cost of goods for sale. When one countries exchange rate rises or falls against another, it can create a shift in the way trade and commerce is conducted. Manufacturers and exporters price the cost of their goods in their base unit of currency. If the exchange rate appreciates to a considerable extent then it makes the cost of goods more expensive to the foreign purchaser. This can result in a reallocation of resources as demand for the goods shift to a comparatively cheaper supplier.

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